Track Record

Two accuracy metrics are tracked independently.

Directional accuracy — did price move in the predicted direction? Bullish signals expect an upward move; bearish expect a decline. This is the metric that matters most for hedging and positioning decisions.

Band hit rate — did the final price land within the 30-day forecast range? A stricter test using a ~5% confidence band around the projected target.

Entries labeled BACKTEST apply the same signal logic to historical prices already in the dataset — not invented, not retrofitted after the fact. Both hits and misses are shown.