Commodity price monitor

Where prices stand,
and how far they could move

Daily prices for seven commodity markets, a one-month price range built from each market's own history, and a simple trend signal.

Every forecast is logged and scored in public against plain baselines, misses included.

90% ranges that held 87.8% target 90% · 3,228 backtests
Trend signal right 49.2% coin flip 50% · "always up" 54.2%
Live forecasts 21 since 2026-10-16 · 0 scored
Full track record →

Markets

Closing prices through 2026-10-20 · Yahoo Finance futures
Energy ↑ 3-month trend · moderate

Brent Oil

109.49 $ / barrel ▼ -0.05%
90% range by 2026-11-19 ? Built from this market's own past 30-day moves, scaled to current volatility. In backtests this kind of range held 90.3% of the time. 91.81 – 127.56 -16.1% / +16.5% · volatility 35% a year
Backtest (462): range held 90.3% · trend right 50.4%
Energy ↑ 3-month trend · weak

Natural Gas

2.973 $ / MMBtu ▼ -2.78%
90% range by 2026-11-19 ? Built from this market's own past 30-day moves, scaled to current volatility. In backtests this kind of range held 86.6% of the time. 2.474 – 3.721 -16.8% / +25.2% · volatility 43% a year
Backtest (461): range held 86.6% · trend right 45.3%
Safe haven ↓ 3-month trend · weak

Gold

4,136.70 $ / troy oz ▼ -0.56%
90% range by 2026-11-19 ? Built from this market's own past 30-day moves, scaled to current volatility. In backtests this kind of range held 87.2% of the time. 3,864.47 – 4,610.29 -6.6% / +11.4% · volatility 18% a year
Backtest (461): range held 87.2% · trend right 56.6%
Safe haven ↑ 3-month trend · weak

USD Index

101.79 index points ▼ -0.19%
90% range by 2026-11-19 ? Built from this market's own past 30-day moves, scaled to current volatility. In backtests this kind of range held 87.9% of the time. 99.38 – 104.22 -2.4% / +2.4% · volatility 5% a year
Backtest (461): range held 87.9% · trend right 51.6%
Food ↓ 3-month trend · moderate

Wheat

6.415 $ / bushel ▼ -2.10%
90% range by 2026-11-19 ? Built from this market's own past 30-day moves, scaled to current volatility. In backtests this kind of range held 88.3% of the time. 5.816 – 7.271 -9.3% / +13.3% · volatility 25% a year
Backtest (461): range held 88.3% · trend right 41.4%
Food ↓ 3-month trend · weak

Corn

4.615 $ / bushel ▼ -1.18%
90% range by 2026-11-19 ? Built from this market's own past 30-day moves, scaled to current volatility. In backtests this kind of range held 85.2% of the time. 4.072 – 5.260 -11.8% / +14.0% · volatility 25% a year
Backtest (461): range held 85.2% · trend right 51.6%
Food ↑ 3-month trend · strong

Rough Rice

17.18 $ / cwt ▲ +0.26%
90% range by 2026-11-19 ? Built from this market's own past 30-day moves, scaled to current volatility. In backtests this kind of range held 89.2% of the time. 15.90 – 19.00 -7.5% / +10.5% · volatility 18% a year
Backtest (461): range held 89.2% · trend right 47.3%

Front-month futures from Yahoo Finance (USD Index: ICE DX-Y.NYB). Grain futures are converted from cents to dollars.

How it works

Automated daily · no manual edits
01

Prices collected every weekday

One source per market, one unit per market. Obvious one-day data glitches are filtered out before anything is stored.

02

A range, not a price target

Point forecasts for commodities rarely beat "tomorrow looks like today". EdgePulse instead estimates how far each market could move in 30 days, using its own history and current volatility.

03

Scored in public

Every forecast is stored before the outcome is known and checked automatically when it comes due. The track record compares it with a coin flip and with "always up".

Full methodology →

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